
Not sure how I want to look at this game today. It has been a tough week dealing with my emotions. On one hand I am a Beaver for life and always want to think my Beavers can win any game if they do the right things. On the other hand I have to be honest with my feelings and those feelings are " This team is done".
Four weeks ago the Beavers had just returned from Tucson with an impressive win over #9 Arizona on the road to bring their record to 3-2. The next four games looked to be the easiest part of a schedule that is a nightmare of a schedule with six ranked teams. Four of those on the road. Now the Beavers faced Washington, CAL, UCLA and WSU. All 4 teams at the bottom of the PAC-10 conference. The Beavers appeared to have come through the early season schedule and improved as a team and individuals. Katz had just come off his best game of his career at #9 Arizona and the team appeared ready to roll. The one problem was the loss of James Rodgers after a questionable hit in the Arizona endzone.
I thought the Beavers could win all 4 of these games and go into the final three monster games with a 7-2 record and another PAC-10 title fight in front of them. Already secure in their postseason bowl options and looking to make a run at USC, STANFORD and then #1 Oregon in Reser.
But something happened that myself and coaching staff and most Beaver fans never thought would happen. The Beavers lost 3 of the next 4 games including last weeks horrendous lost to lowly WSU. What has happened to this team is a question that every Beaver fan is asking themselves. It is always easy to blame the coaching staff. They are the ones responsible for making these players successful. However, we know that this coaching staff is good and has proven that fact over the last 8 years with the best run of success this school has ever seen. So if it is not the coaching staff, what is the problem?
There is plenty of blame to go around. Katz, Quizz, the O-line, the secondary, the run defense. You can pick any of the above or all of the above. Over the course of the season fans have picked on many different players. Of course there are fans that still have the blinders on and think that everything is ok in Corvallis and that this team can recover. Yes that is true. This team can recover. We are taught that anything is possible if you believe and work hard enough to get it. The problem is I do not think this team believes anymore. I think they are lost and do not know how to fix it.

At the WSU game if you were watching the sidelines this is what you saw most of the game. A coaching staff with their hands on their hips shaking their heads, looking confused and frustrated. I don't know how many times over the course of the first half I saw players and coaching hanging their heads, shaking them in disbelief as they watched what was happening on the field. The players on the bench stood their staring out at the field as if they could not believe what they were seeing. There was not emotion. There was no fire. Just blank stares.
So this week the AP #20 USC Trojans come to Corvallis to face the Beavers. The Trojans and first year head coach Lan Kiffin bring sophomore QB Matt Barkley, Junior TB Marc Tyler and senior WR Ronald Johnson and the powerful USC offense to Reser is what has become the last stand for the Beavers. This is their best opportunity for a win in their last three games. If the Beavers want to make a bowl game this game is a must win.
BY THE NUMBERS -
Click Here for Pregame StatsUSC is 7-3 and has done what the Beavers have failed to do this season. Win the games they needed to win. The Trojans crushed WSU 50-16. They only real flaw in their record was a loss at Washington. But that happened last year as well.
Statistically USC leads in 21 of 32 categories. Some big areas are the offense. USC is averaging 130 yards more per game then the Beavers and USC has a solid running game that is getting almost 200 yards per game. Defensively USC is giving up points on defense and the Beavers are actually leading that category by 1 point per game.
A major area of concern for the Beavers is 3rd down. The Beavers are only converting 1 of 3 third down situations and have shown to be pretty giving to opponents on third down allowing 50% conversion rates to others. The lack of ability to convert of 3rd down has affected the time of possession. The Beavers time of possession is at a 10 year low. Last week the Cougars had the ball for over 40 minutes. FORTY MINUTES! The Beavers only converted 20% of third down situations vs the Cougars.
The kicking game still continues to be an issue. This is so confusing to me I just do not know what to think of it. Kahut and Hekker are veterans on this team and have had success for the Beavers in past years. Kahut has 39 career field goals and hit 22 last season. One short of the school record. His career field goal percentage before this year was .750 (39/52). This year Kahut is 3 for 7. REALLY? 3 FOR 7? How is that possible? Hekker's year is just as disappointing. Johnny has a career average of nearly 40 yards per punt. This season he is averaging 35.5 yards per punt.
The problems this season are not just limited to these players. Players on both sides of the ball are not performing up to the expectations of the staff and their fans. Quizz is below his pace of last season. In 2009 Quizz ran for 1440 yards in 13 games (110 ypg). This season Quizz is currently at 893 yards in 9 games 99.2 ypg.
So the problem with this team of very talented players is something that appears to be affecting everyone on the team. Can the Beavers turn a negative into a positive with only three games left in the season? Three games against ranked opponents. Only time will tell.
THE BOTTOM LINE
Lets throw out the whole making a bowl thing. Right now, for this team. This is a must win game the for Beavers for their confidence and for what might be next year. With Stanford and Oregon still on the schedule this is our best chance for a win.
How will the Beavers come out and play today? Who knows. How should the Beavers come out and play today? They should come out and play relaxed and because they want to be there. Have fun. Enjoy the experience of being a Division 1 football player. All is not lost yet. They can still rescue the season. If the Beavers somehow manage to win 2 or 3 games down the stretch against these 3 teams. This will be a season that will not soon be forgotten. To come back from the adversity of the last two weeks and make a statement today would be huge for the confidence of this team going forward.
Can the Beavers beat USC today? They have in the past. But those were different teams on both sides of the ball. Two years ago the Beavers beat #1 USC just when the Beavers were coming off a tough stretch of football. They could do it again.
For the Beavers to win they just have to play to their ability and forget everything that has happened in the last 4 weeks. They just need to stay positive, make good decisions and don't let adversity get into their heads. This game is not as lopsided as it looks.
I truly believe the Beavers can win this game. After the embarrassment of losing to the Cougars last week they will come out today with purpose and focus that we have not seen for some time this year. I look for season high games from several players today and for the Beavers to play perhaps their best game of the season. If last weeks loss cannot bring that out of this team then I am afraid that we only have next year to look forward to.
FINAL SCORE
BEAVERS 38
USC 28
GO BEAVERS!